£7,393.20 PROFIT By Betting On Favourites TO LOSE!

- "Backing favourites, especially odds on favourites, to win is a mugs game!"

There I said it.

£50 on to win less than £50 profit IF it wins?

Favourites lose and quite often too.

What do I do?

Instead of backing at £50 to return less then £50 profit, I bet on them to lose to make over £50 profit!

The horses I back are what I like to call FALSE FAVOURITES

Look at a typical weeks results:


In 7 days that's profit a profit of £465.81

15 wins from 21 bets
71.4% win rate
Worst loss was -£50
Best win was +£119.04

Hi, my name is Dave Upson and while you're here let me tell you more about my False Favourites.

The main question I get asked is

"Why pick horses to lose rather than to win?"

Simple answer is: I'm good at it and not so good at picking horses to win.

This scenario that made it simpler for me to jump ship and become a lay bettor and finally lay tipster is this...

There's a 8 horse race, pick a winner.

Surely a 1 in 8 chance, but then of course some have a better chance of winning that others. Well in some races, sometimes its pretty damn close between all the runners.

Now, same race, pick just one loser! Chance now up to 7/8.

That I believed I could do!

It took me a while to get my head around laying when I started betting, when I was still trying to pick winners on a regular basis.

It didn't help that some of the lay services out there don't know their arse from their elbow too.

Laying is a profitable game but only if you do it right...

The odds need to be low, and this level stake laying is bullsh*t in my eyes.

Level stake laying looks like this.

  • £10 on every lay bet.

  • If the bet wins you win a set £10 from the bet

  • When one loses you lose £10 multiplied by the odds

For example: if a 5/1 horse comes in that you lay at £10, you lose £50.

Then laying the same stake all the time means you need to hit 5 winners just to break even.

As you can also see in that example, laying at odds that are mid range is a dangerous game.


"Why do tipsters pick those horses?"

Because they feel they have a better chance of losing over the favourites.

This is where my method is different.

  • I only lay favourites and it took me a while to realise this is where the real profit is.

  • They don't have to be odds on, as you can see from my bets above.

  • But I do limit the odds to 3.0

But what I also do is I limit my losses to a set amount, currently £50 per bet. This is called Liability.

Using a set liability rather than set stake means no matter what the odds are, whether its 1.4 or 2.99, if I get it wrong I lose the same amount. The amount I make with a win is what changes.

I have won bets as low as 1.4 which returned £125.00 profit and I also won bets at 2.96 which returned £25.50 profit.

Any loss is capped at £50 for me.

By using this method I made myself £703.80 profit in 5 days!


"How am I able to do this?"

First off the odds of the horses do not always resemble their chance of winning the race.

THEY SHOULD, but the bookies are greedy pigs and they change things around to "tempt" punters to backing different horses.

Look at the 1.4 win I had on Sextant, it actually SP'd at 1.25

Ended up been a 2 horse race and the 1.25 odds on favourite lost to the other horse at 3/1.

Is this an exception?

In just 5 days I managed to back 20 favourites, plenty odds on, to lose and they did just that.

So if you take anything away from reading this, let it be this...

"Do not trust the bookie odds!"

The way I operate means I have to look at the odds, having a max odds range of 3.0 means its easier for me to go through the cards each day and list off all the races where the favourite is under 3.0.

No point in spending my time calculating the odds on a favourite losing if its never going to drop into my range, but that is the only part the odds play in my decision making

The rest comes down to factors I have found over time make a difference when weighing up who will win, or lose, a race.

Some factors have no bearing on the outcome of a race, but some tipsters will tell you that they do.

To me there is only so much analysis you can do before a race, it's important analysis but there is a limit.

Again a benefit of betting on horses to lose.

Say you do your due diligence and think you know the winner.

Then the horse gets boxed in, has a poor start or the jockey messes up.

Game over, bet lost.

With lay betting, there is always that chance of something happening til the very end of the race.

Maybe a stumble on the final jump, or the jockey easing off too soon not seeing the outside threat.

And that is only if it looks like we've bet on the wrong favourite to lose.

To be honest, I can try and convince you that lay betting is the way to go all I want. Some people will not touch it and I just don't get that.

For others it comes down to profit.


"Would £700 per week be of interest to you?"

Over the past 3 months I have made a total of £7,393.20 by betting on favourites to lose.

The reason you are reading this page is that I'm willing to take on 100 members and show them exactly how I've done this.

Why 100 members only?

Because taking on 200 or 300 will start to effect the markets.

100 members isn't going to have a huge effect on the odds when we're betting against the favourites.

Any more than that and it might.

So the first 100 people to join get access to my daily tips.

These tips are sent via email on the morning of the racing.

I've opened up my results to you from last week, my most recent betting and if you want more results just ask but I'll have to knock together a spreadsheet and ideally I don't want to spend my time doing that.

I fully believe that seeing is believing so I'm willing to offer you a full 30 days worth of bets for just £15!

£15 to get these bets for a whole month to show you how powerful this strategy is.

If you want to continue it will be just £30 montly

If you think this system is for you, then I'll even knock you off over 85% if you sign up for the year.

 

"If you want in, remember its first 100 in first come first served."

£15 for a 30 day trial, then £30 per month

or £120 for the entire year, saving £225 on your annual membership.

Just click the relevant button below for which option you would like and if there are still bets to place today you will get them as soon as you have told me which email address to send it to.

TAKE A 30 DAY TRIAL

ANNUAL MEMBERSHIP - ONLY £120

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Here's some info that you should know going in...

[-] To bet on horses to lose you need an account with an exchange like Betfair Exchange or Smarkets.

[-] You do not need to risk £50 liability per horse, you need to set an amount you are ok with losing on a bet. £25 liability bets last week would have still made over £350 profit.

[-] You need a bank, 20 times your liability is ample. So for £50 liability bets a bank of £1,000. This allows you to place all the bets at the same time on any given day and also keep going if we have a bad day to start with. Bare this figure in mind when deciding how much liability you want to risk per race.

[-] Not every bet will win, but as you saw last week I win a lot more than I lose. Thats what makes this method very profitable.

[-] Not every day will be a profitable one. Last week it was but most weeks I see at least one day where we lose a little of the bank.

[-] Bets day from 2 to 8 per day. It all depends how much racing there is and how many opportunities there are for us to place.

[-] No point trying to lay on the exchange the night before as the odds have not settled and we won't get the best prices. Not to mention one of the main factors that do effect the racing is the going, the ground condition. This can change dramatically over night.

[-] I do not bet every day. Days I do not bet are because I either do not have the time to do the analysis and I don't guess when it comes to putting my money on a horse. I also don't bet some days because I think the favourites will win.

[-] Odds change. Especially after I email out and members place their bets at the same time or close together. There are ways to avoid getting stuck with larger odds that I will share with my members.

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If you're ok with that, great, choose your option of either a 30 day trial or sign up to save over 85% on the fees for the year.

I believe anyone joining me will make a nice profit over the coming weeks, months and years and if you're still on the fence about lay betting or my method for any reason I'll make it real easy for you.

Sign up and get a place.

If you're not happy in the first 60 days of your membership, just let me know and all fees you have sent to me will be returned in full.

If you join the trial you can cancel your membership at any point.

So, do you want today's FALSE FAVOURITES?

 

TAKE A 30 DAY TRIAL

ANNUAL MEMBERSHIP - ONLY £120

I look forward to showing you how often favourites lose so we can profit.

Favourite Destroyer :- )
If you have any questions just email me on dave@falsefavourites.co.uk